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The Stochastic Character of Japanese Exchange Rates
The paper explores the stochastic character of six yen exchange rates with respect to the Canadian dollar, French franc, Italian lira, German mark, British pound and the US dollar for the 1973-2002 periods. The methodological design is the multivariate Exponential GARCH model, which is capable of capturing asymmetries in the exchange rate volatility transmission mechanism. The results point to significant reciprocal and positive volatility spillovers after the Plaza Accord of 1985. Furthermore, the finding of absence of asymmetry in the same period implies that bad and/or good news in a particular market positively and equally affects volatility in the next market.
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