EUROZONE SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS AND ITS IMPACT ON INDIA'S CROSS-BORDER CREDIT MARKET
This study examines the impact of the Eurozone's sovereign debt crisis on cross- border credit to India, addressing: (i) Causes of subsided lending, (ii) India's loan demand, (iii) Influence of Eurozone banks' home countries on credit, and (vi) Identification of the banking system responsible for the falloff. Results indicate that a 1% change in India's sovereign debt to GDP ratio is linked to a $1013m increase in cross-border lending from the Eurozone. A 1% change in the Eurozone's ratio is associated with a $556m increase in cross-border credit to India. A 1% rise in India's real GDP growth rate is associated with a $164m increase in cross-border bank financing to India. The results indicate that global banks propagate financial shocks from their country of origin. The implications suggest that the concentration of cross-border credit in advanced economy financial systems puts emerging economies like India at risk of country- or region-specific financial shocks.
Debt crisis, Eurozone, cross-border credit, credit booms, macroeconomic impact