A Causal Analysis between Construction Flows and Economic Growth: Evidence from India
Aviral Kumar Tiwari
The study examined the causal relationship between construction flows and economic growth under a static and dynamic framework by employing the Engel-Granger and IRFs approach with incorporation of endogenously determined structural breaks. The static causality test result provided the evidence of bidirectional Granger-causality between construction flows and economic growth in India. The dynamic causality analysis indicated that for the first ten years, a standard deviation innovation in construction had positive impact on the GDP, while the long-run impact was negative. However, a standard deviation shock/innovation in GDP had a negative impact on the construction flows of the economy for the first 10 years of the period under shock analysis, while for the long-run, the impact was in the positive direction.